Journal of
Systemics, Cybernetics and Informatics
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ISSN: 1690-4524 (Online)


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Editorial Advisory Board's Chair
William Lesso

Editor-in-Chief
Nagib C. Callaos


Sponsored by
The International Institute of
Informatics and Systemics

www.iiis.org
 

Editorial Advisory Board

Editors

Journal's Reviewers
 

Description and Aims

Submission of Articles

Areas and Subareas

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Editorial Peer Review Methodology

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Are We Meeting Pedagogic Requirements? – The Quadratic Equation
Russell Jay Hendel
(pages: 1-7)

Facilitating Effective Student Participation in an Online Environment
Nanda van der Stap, Risa Blair
(pages: 8-11)

Virtual Global Classrooms without Walls: Collaborative Opportunities for Higher Learning Engagement
Cathy MacDonald, Debra Sheppard-LeMoine
(pages: 12-16)

Augmented Reality as Visual Communication for People with ASD
Esteban Menéndez, María Daniela López de Luise
(pages: 17-21)

Study of Race Condition: A Privilege Escalation Vulnerability
Tanjila Farah, Rashed Shelim, Moniruz Zaman, Delwar Alam
(pages: 22-26)

From the Lab to the Field: 3D Technology Supporting Study and Conservation Processes on Ancient Egyptian Artefacts
Paola Buscaglia, Elena Biondi, Alessandro Bovero, Tomasso Quirino
(pages: 27-32)

Digital Forensics Compute Cluster (DFORC2) – A New High Speed Distributed Computing Capability for Digital Forensics
Daniel Gonzales, Zev Winkelman, Trung Tran, Ricardo Sanchez, Dulani Woods, John Hollywood
(pages: 33-38)

Proposal of a Bus Location System Based on Participatory Sensing with BLE Devices and Smartphones
Katsuhiro Naito, Katsuyuki Tanaka
(pages: 39-44)

Technical Change and Employment in an Emerging Economy
Humberto Merritt
(pages: 45-53)

Interpretation of the Results of a Case Study about Impacts and Influences of Exogenous Variables in the Planning of Chronogram and Budget in Software Projects
Altino José Mentzingen de Moraes
(pages: 54-59)

Flipped Classroom – A Flexible Way of Teaching Technology Usage for Diagnostics in the Medical Subdomain ENT
Walter Koch, Jochen Schachenreiter, Klaus Vogt, Gerda Koch
(pages: 60-64)

ERP Selection: The Lifeblood of an Organization
Desmond (Tres) Bishop
(pages: 65-69)

Proposing an Education System to Judge the Necessity of Nuclear Power in Japan
Ariyoshi Kusumi
(pages: 70-74)

Biometric Encryption System for Increased Security
Ranjith Jayapal, Pramod Govindan
(pages: 75-80)

BIM as a Structural Safety Study Tool in Case of Fire - BIMSCIP
Marcelo Franco Porto, José Ricardo Queiroz Franco, Luiza Giori Barcellos Correa, Lucas Vinicius Ribeiro Alves, Renata Maria Abrantes Baracho
(pages: 81-86)

Evaluating the Construct Validity of Basic Science Curriculum Assessment Instrument for Critical Thinking: A Case-Study
Chau-Kuang Chen, Adriana Marie Horner, Michelle Scott, Stephanie C. McClure
(pages: 87-92)

The Outer Banks Study – Physio-Chemical Parameters for Water Quality Testing/Professional Development Program for Teachers
Joseph Stringer, Timothy Bowman, Keith Vinson, Catherine Warnecke, Nora Lewis, William Slattery, Suzanne K. Lunsford
(pages: 93-97)


 

Abstracts

 


ABSTRACT


An Agent-Based Dynamic Model of Politics, Fertility and Economic Development

Zining Yang


In the political economy of development, government policy choices at a single point in time can dramatically affect a country’s development path by impacting fertility, economic and political decisions across generations. Combining system dynamics and agent-based modeling approaches in a complex adaptive system, a simulation framework of the Politics of Fertility and Economic Development (POFED) is formalized to understand the relationship between politics, economic, and demography change at both macro and micro levels. First, a new political capacity measurement is used; and the system dynamics model is validated with the latest data. Second, the endogenous attributes are fused with non-cooperative game theory in an agent-based framework to simulate the interactive political economic dynamics of individual intra-societal transactions. Finally, macro and micro levels are connected with policy levers of political capacity and political instability by merging system dynamics and agent-based components. This paper also explores the agent-based model’s behavioral dynamics via simulation methods to identify paths towards economic development and political stability. This model demonstrates micro level human agency can act, react and interact, thus driving macro level dynamics, while macro structures provide political, social and economic environments that constrain or incentivize micro level human behavior.

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